Uhuru’s final budget is a suicide pass to our next president

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Uhuru’s final budget is a suicide pass to our next president


President Uhuru Kenyatta. PHOTO | PSCU

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Summary

  • As a former school rugby player, President Uhuru Kenyatta’s final budget is what the British call a ‘hospital pass’, which we translated long ago as ‘suicide pass’. “.
  • The next president will inherit a faltering agenda from the Big Four which requires decentralization but which is far from being devolved.

Football, or soccer, is a great game. It relies mainly on the use of the legs and sometimes the head. This is the physical part of it. Of course, the best players use their head before their legs. Rugby was born in football when a young man decided to run with the ball rather than kick it. To make it a little more different, the shape of the ball changed from a logical round to an uncomfortable oval.

In short, the game took the form of a pear. The world appreciates both sporting experiences. Barrett and Moung’a are just as good watches as Cristiano and Messi. Cullen was the best. Injera is ours in this golden age of “Mean Machine” at the University of Nairobi after the fact. There is not enough room here for these legends.

Or the fantastic “First Eleven” by Marshall Mulwa. Kenya’s fundamental fault is that it does not learn from history.

There is an interesting difference between football and rugby. In the latter case, you need the ball to run. In the first case, you have to run to retrieve the ball. It is a difference of subtlety. Modern football now thinks like rugby (possession, etc.) while modern rugby thinks like football (angles, etc.).

In the scheme of big things in this world, however, rugby seems to need more intelligence than soccer.

Because the 2022 election is on everyone’s mind, it may be interesting to delve into the sporting trends of our current and future potentates. Like a rugby player here, a footballer dad over there, a volleyball player somewhere, a “wrestler” there (I heard it was a real sport and that Kenya actually a team).

Thinking in sporting terms (and I have already argued that you fix Kenya by fixing food, commerce and sports), we could adopt a “Sports Kenya” vision from the unpublished 2022 Budget Policy Statement (BPS). until now.

This is how our “Sports Kenya” budget works. After receiving and virtually ignoring publicly announced sector resource offers, the National Treasury then issues the BPS with virtually no notice for public comment. We have been here before.

But this is a budget for the 2022/23 election year that appears to be heading towards a possibly violent choice between a tractor (Tinga) and a wheelbarrow.

As a former school rugby player, President Uhuru Kenyatta’s final budget is what the British call a ‘hospital pass’, which we translated long ago as ‘suicide pass’. “. In soccer, there are passes that can hurt you. In rugby, there are passes that take you straight to the hospital. This BPS is essentially the admission pass to the ICU / HDU tax service which will welcome the 5e President.

Here is a brief summative briefing for Kenya’s 5e of the 154-page document not yet in the public domain.

You will inherit a shaky Big Four agenda which requires decentralization but which is far from being devolved. The numbers aren’t particularly precise, but you’ll be lucky enough to run with something close to 100 billion shillings in a budget of almost four trillion, including debt repayments.

You will also inherit a high-risk debt climate that targets the fifth Eurobond in ten years. There is a movie called “Other People’s Money” which can guide you in your understanding of this scandalous situation.

You will inherit a totally unscheduled portfolio of projects. At the national level, you can start with the World Bank estimates of 4,000 projects. Multiply that by three to five times for the counties. Each project created by the government – national or departmental – is now “our turn to eat”. No pastry, just cake!

You will find that national security (military and intelligence) costs Sh 200 billion in the first year. The question will not be why, or what, but when this bloat bloat happened in plain sight.

At that point, the hard truth, not the false campaign promise, will emerge. In 2022/23, the government will cost (excluding debt repayment) 3.3 trillion shillings. The national government will represent two trillion.

The income generated is, according to the Mandarins, supposed to increase to 2.4 trillion shillings. Let us not forget that our debt is heading towards eight trillion, before examining the loans guaranteed by the parastatal organizations and the possible liabilities of PPP.

Here is the little story. To run government, you will have to tax us more or serve us less.

Which brings us back to the longer sporting history of where we started.

Has our current president just thrown his successor a “suicide pass”?

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About Gloria Turner

Gloria Turner

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